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      Mar 15, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: it is all over the place. huge moves up
      Mar 15, 2017
      AKJ AKJ: i've been doing much better in RUT than SPX in 2017.
      Mar 15, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: interesting. spx is killing me lately. so sick of this bull market
      Mar 15, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: there is the melt up we know and love.
      Mar 15, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: I've turned to stocks and bullish too
      Mar 15, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: any that had good earnings and trending I assume it will continue.
    1. Mar 15, 2017
      Chat Bot: Jon B is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: i think that's a good idea. any hopes of a pullback are now dead
      Mar 16, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: The problem is that this market is acting so stupid that it needs a LOT of time to get back to anything that is considered normal (if that even exists).
    2. Mar 16, 2017
      Chat Bot: Joshua is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: i guess just lean bullish on all trades
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: look at today. we tried to go down, and buyers stepped right in
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: it just refuses to go down
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: we are turning green...
      Mar 16, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: Probably just hang up here for a while
    3. Mar 16, 2017
      Chat Bot: gold is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: yup.
      Mar 16, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: think you are correct Teddy
      Mar 16, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: I'm giving it more than 100 days for some large SD move down.
      Mar 16, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: And will still a have 90 days at that point for expiration.
      Mar 16, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: On another, I have more than 1 year.
    4. Mar 16, 2017
      Chat Bot: Doobs789 is our newest member. Welcome!
    5. Mar 17, 2017
      Chat Bot: mje is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 17, 2017
      Teddy Teddy: As expected, no Friday crash
      Mar 17, 2017
      TOPS TOPS: yup. more of the same today...another nothing day. i am still waiting for that 1% down day. hasn't happened since early Oct 2016
    6. Mar 18, 2017 at 3:00 PM
      Chat Bot: Richard L is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 18, 2017 at 7:23 PM
      Teddy Teddy: Not too sure what Friday was but it did drop more than 1 ATR(20). This has not happened for a while.
    7. Mar 19, 2017 at 1:07 PM
      Chat Bot: Gianluca is our newest member. Welcome!
    8. Mar 19, 2017 at 8:55 PM
      Chat Bot: Seth H is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 19, 2017 at 10:32 PM
      AKJ AKJ: Which market was that Teddy? As far as I can tell, this did not happen.
    9. Mar 20, 2017 at 5:09 AM
      Chat Bot: sourabh is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 20, 2017 at 6:33 PM
      Teddy Teddy: It did not show in SPX. Could be due to
      Mar 20, 2017 at 7:09 PM
      AKJ AKJ: indeed it was an ex-date.
    10. Mar 20, 2017 at 8:56 PM
      Chat Bot: DA is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:12 PM
      Teddy Teddy: Goodbye market.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:12 PM
      AKJ AKJ: havent seen this level of selling in a few months.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:12 PM
      Teddy Teddy: Looks like today is the 2nd warning
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:12 PM
      Teddy Teddy: It does not look good
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:13 PM
      Teddy Teddy: This is the point I would say, longs should sit it out, though it might go up, but the downside does get ugly soon.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:14 PM
      Teddy Teddy: Today I try to optimize it with another perturbation.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:15 PM
      Teddy Teddy: Looks like the news on GOOG was not nice.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:15 PM
      Teddy Teddy: I'm watching to see if I am right.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 3:16 PM
      Teddy Teddy: And the funds need to sell this week too
      Mar 21, 2017 at 4:04 PM
      TOPS TOPS: finally
      Mar 21, 2017 at 4:04 PM
      TOPS TOPS: small caps really taking it on the chin
    11. Mar 21, 2017 at 4:16 PM
      Chat Bot: meredith is our newest member. Welcome!
      Mar 21, 2017 at 4:19 PM
      tosfan tosfan: I am wondering what really triggered today's selloff. Couldn't find yet any credible explanation in the news.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 4:47 PM
      Teddy Teddy: And it showed up in the SPX.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 4:53 PM
      Teddy Teddy: There was some news about GOOGL's Youtube content. Furthermore, it was downgraded today.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:06 PM
      tosfan tosfan: It may be simply that a few algos got into a technical sell (or short) territory then pulled more algos into a chain reaction.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:14 PM
      Teddy Teddy: Everyone looking at the same technicals.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:16 PM
      tosfan tosfan: Exactly ... or using the same off-the-shelf systems.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:17 PM
      Teddy Teddy: David Rockefeller did die.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:18 PM
      tosfan tosfan: Yes I read about it yesterday.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:19 PM
      tosfan tosfan: I have three ongoing RTTs whose tents have been left far below market, have been trying to somehow raise upside credit. I guess no such worries anymore. :)
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:21 PM
      Teddy Teddy: I've tested it using 2007 and upward data. Not good when the market drops.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:21 PM
      Teddy Teddy: I found that it was better to take it off and let the market drop and put a new one on.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:24 PM
      tosfan tosfan: Yes, it will bleed on IV spike. My RTTs have already good paper profits but I will probably take them out once delta turns positive.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:33 PM
      tosfan tosfan: Not sure what you meant by the upward bias. I usually start with the upper long some 25-30 points below market. And try to ensure the initial position delta a tiny bit negative. This allows for enough decline before I adjust or take it off.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:40 PM
      tosfan tosfan: You are right, 3 days ago SPX (actually I watch /ES) hit then the March2-3 levels then backed off. It is still inside a raising regression channel but may soon break below it.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:50 PM
      Teddy Teddy: The RTT is basically a put flat fly. I have seen the adjustments in SOM and they don't prevent the loss like taking it right off if that drop is a sign of more to come.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:55 PM
      tosfan tosfan: Interesting you saying this, the RTT trades presented by Tom and others are lauded for the downside resilience.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 5:56 PM
      tosfan tosfan: For sure I would now wait before starting another RTT (normally I would welcome a down day)
      Mar 21, 2017 at 6:26 PM
      Teddy Teddy: I think you need to test it on say June 12, 2008.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 6:49 PM
      AKJ AKJ: Teddy, what exactly was that warning in SPY from 2 days ago?
      Mar 21, 2017 at 7:08 PM
      Teddy Teddy: If you look at the candle in SPY for 3/17 that was larger than normal.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 7:21 PM
      AKJ AKJ: Teddy, you yourself identified that the larger than normal bar was due to the dividend in SPY. Best of luck to you if you interpret a down bar from a dividend as a sign of a potential selloff.
      Mar 21, 2017 at 7:43 PM
      Teddy Teddy: LoL ......I thought there would be a response like that. That wasn't the only thing.
    12. Mar 21, 2017 at 11:46 PM
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      Mar 22, 2017 at 6:00 AM
      tosfan tosfan: Teddy, interesting explanation from Marko Kolanovic about causes of today's selloff:
    13. Mar 22, 2017 at 11:12 AM
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    14. Mar 22, 2017 at 4:14 PM
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    17. Mar 24, 2017 at 12:32 AM
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